เจ้าของ Repository
Atikankul, Yupapin
Subject
การพยากรณ์
ราคาสินค้าเกษตร
เอกซ์โปเนนเชียล
commodity prices
Financial Wellness Expo
Forecasting
ปีที่ตีพิมพ์
2557
จำนวนเข้าชม 1
The objective of this study is to compare three forecasting methods on three agricultural products consisting of fresh whole chicken (include bone no entrails) red meat pork hip section and Jasmine rice. These methods are Simple Exponential Smoothing method Holt’s method and Winter’s method. Data are colleced for a period of 60 months from January 2007 to December 2011. The most suitable forecasting method are the one that shows no residual autocorrelation and gives the lowest MSE MAPE. The results show that Simple Exponential Smoothing method is the most suitable method on three agricultural products due to this method reveals no residual autocorrelation and displays the lowest MSE MAPE.