จำนวน Repository ( 2 )
การวิเคราะห์อิทธิพลที่มีผลต่อผลผลิตพืชไร่ทางเศรษฐกิจที่สำคัญในพื้นที่เพาะปลูกเขตภาคกลางของประเทศไทยด้วยตัวแบบทางคณิตศาสตร์อย่างมีประสิทธิภาพ
The objectives of this research are to propose an approate and efficient model for analyzing rice corn and sugar yields data. A linear mixed model (LMM) with spatial correlation following the conditional autoregressive model (CAR) was adopted. The results show that for rice yields if the amount of rainfall in a harvest season increases 1 mm the yields will decease by 25.74 tons. if the temperature in the harvest season increases 1 Celsius the yields will decease by 212.60 tons and according to the trend the yield will increase by 15.80 tons each year. For sugar cane yields if the amount of rainfall in the harvest season increases 1 mm the yields will decease by 51.35 tons. if the temperature in the harvest season increase 1 Celsius the yields will incease by 121.30 tons and according to the trend the yield will increase by 29.93.80 tons each year. For corn yield if the amount of rainfall in the havest season increases 1 mm the yields will incease by 73.45 tons. if the temperature in he havest season increases 1 celsius the yields will decease by 40.44 tons and according to the trend the yield will increase by 1.74 tons each year.
Spatial mathematical analysis : an application to mapping of dengue hemorrhagic fever in Thailand
The objectives of this research are to estimate the morbidity rate of Dengue Hemorrhagic fever in each province of Thailand and to construct the map of the Dengue Hemorrhagic fever. A Bayesian model is used for the data analysis. The data are mathematical spatial correlated in the form of the conditional autoregressive model (CAR). The secondary data were collected at a provincial level. They were the number of Dengue Hemorrhagic fever patients rainfall and average temperature. The research found that the rainfall (RR = 1.0026) and the average temperature (RR = 1.2681) had influence on the morbidity of Dengue Hemorrhagic fever. The season during July to September had more influence on the morbidity of Dengue Hemorrhagic fever than during the other seasons. The top 5 highest morbidity rates per 100000 population were Chiangmai in October (1288.00) July (1096.00) September (804.30) Surin in October (772.30) and Nakhon Si Thammarat in August (666.20). The disease map constructed for showing the distribution of the disease is easy to understand and useful for public health.